May 16, 2024 – The Henry, Autograph Collection
The MichBusiness Women Thrive Conference is a day of celebration, informative panel discussions, facilitated networking opportunities, and knowledge-sharing. It is advised by a distinguished board of businesswomen and community leaders.
May 16, 2024 – The Henry, Autograph Collection
The MichBusiness Women Thrive Conference is a day of celebration, informative panel discussions, facilitated networking opportunities, and knowledge-sharing. It is advised by a distinguished board of businesswomen and community leaders.
How do you continue to grow your small business in an increasingly uncertain economy? It’s a question many entrepreneurs are asking themselves, and the answer may lie in thinking small about how to be big.
Small business owners who take baby steps toward growth, rather than making major or risky investments all at once, are more protected financially if a downturn hits. For example, there are more affordable alternatives to setting up a traditional office that allow you to compete at a high level without real estate, employee, and office equipment and furnishings costs.
Here are four steps that entrepreneurs can take to help build success one small step at a time:
Find a Home Away from Home When lack of space or barking dogs make working from home an exercise in frustration, it’s time to make your move. But don’t think an expensive, long-term lease is your only option. Full or part-time, move-in-ready offices in business centers are a less costly alternative that come fully furnished and equipped, and offer business-grade copiers, on-site administrative support and high-speed Internet access.
Meet in Style If you need professional space for the occasional client meeting, leasing a full-time office is overkill. A well-kept secret is the availability of by-the-hour meeting rooms at business centers. For less than the average hotel meeting room, you can book a private conference room in a prestigious high-rise, get on-site technical and administrative support, and have catering arranged for your group.
Get Help, Virtually If you need an assistant to answer phones and sort mail, think twice before hiring a full-time employee. Consider the cost of salary and benefits. It can be simpler and cheaper to use a virtual office, which provides a phone number and address at a first-class office building, plus a shared administrative assistant to answer calls in your company’s name, greet clients and help with clerical work.
Fly the Friendly Airwaves Can’t afford to fly cross-country to meet with distant clients or business partners? Set up a videoconference instead. Chances are there’s a business center near you and your client where you can rent a videoconference suite by the hour, save hundreds in travel costs, and still be home before dinner.
A sluggish economy doesn’t mean you can’t grow your business, but proceeding with caution can really pay off.
Jeff Doughman is the Central Region Vice President of The Regus Group Americas, a provider of workplace solutions operating a global network of more than 1,000 business centers in 450 cities and 75 countries. To learn more visit www.regus.com.
With health insurance costs continuing to be on the rise, there’s more reason than ever to focus on employee wellness. The American Cancer Society can help employers implement or enhance an employee wellness program at their organization that promotes healthier lifestyles while also helping to manage health care costs, increase productivity, retain current employees and attract new employees.
The American Cancer Society offers the following employee wellness and support programs free of charge:
Active For Life
This 10-week physical activity program is designed to lessen the risk for chronic disease, promote team building and control health care costs.
Employee Wellness
Workplace wellness strategies promote healthy lifestyle choices, increase employee utilization of screenings and preventive medical services through policy development.
Smokefree Worksite & Tobacco Cessation
Worksite decision makers have more reason than ever to protect employees from exposure to secondhand smoke on the job.
American Cancer Society Patient Navigation
The Society provides information on all aspects of cancer through a toll-free information line, Web site and published materials.
Community Events
Join the fight against cancer by supporting American Cancer Society community events, such as Relay For Life, Making Strides Against Breast Cancer, golf events and galas.
For more information on these Workplace Solutions programs, contact the American Cancer Society at 1-800-227-2345 or visit www.acsworkplacesolutions.com.
Source: American Cancer Society, Great Lakes Division
Everyone has been hit by the economic crisis and nonprofit organizations are certainly not the exception. During this time of year, when nonprofits are seeking contributions with the economy in crisis, funding for charitable giving will likely decline.
Controversial tax policies to ease the crisis are debated daily, and the unfortunate reality is that it is hard to find critics of the Michigan tax credit for contributions to endowed funds to Michigan community foundations. Successful state legislation that was passed approximately 20 years ago has helped to make a difference in our communities.
Indeed perhaps no state has developed more of a commitment to its communities than Michigan. There are community foundations which serve in each county in Michigan - and 66 total throughout the state. Michigan-based community foundations hold more than $1 billion in endowed funds and they distribute nearly $50 million in local grants on an annual basis.
The Community Foundation of Greater Rochester for example, administers endowed funds which provide funding of approximately $50,000 per month into the local community. This foundation supports such causes as Rochester Neighborhood House, college scholarships for high school students who otherwise couldn’t afford a higher education and the Rochester Older Persons Commission.
The logic behind the tax credit was to provide an incentive for donations to endowed funds for use in the community. Such endowments are assisting the communities to help take care of themselves and place less reliance on government programs. The tax credit assists these community foundations in efficiently addressing the needs of those citizens - and our neighbors - who are in need without public funding during a time when it seems that an unlimited number of entities are asking for handouts.
Setting up your own charitable cause can be a difficult or time-consuming activity. Community foundations have resources to partner with donors and assist with the development and administration of funds. They exist to assist you with such logistics.
Another significant advantage of endowments is that they allow the donor to maintain control of the direction in which the funds will be used. It is common for the direction of nonprofits to change as the composition of their boards change. Maintaining funds in an endowed fund secures the principal, which lasts forever for the specific cause.
In these challenging economic times, leaders of certain nonprofits in Michigan should expand the use of community foundations, to provide further incentive for charitable giving, to those who may be hesitant to donate. Our leaders in Lansing should expand the use of solid tax policies such as this tax credit which has been so successful in building wealth in our communities.
Whether you are interested in giving to an endowment, or donating your time toward assisting the less fortunate in your community, getting involved with such a community foundation is a great place to start this holiday season.
Brian Hunter, CPA, is a partner with Fenner, Melstrom & Dooling, PLC in Auburn Hills. He is also on the board of trustees for the Community Foundation of Greater Rochester and is a board member of Leader Dogs for the Blind. He can be reached at [email protected].
Time Power: A Proven System for Getting More Done in Less Time Than You Ever Thought Possible by Brian Tracy. Published by: AMACON Books, New York, NY, May 2007, 295 pages, $16.00.
A new year will soon be upon us. Looking ahead, this is a good time to reexamine our use or misuse of time. We’re all busy, and any tools for time management should be simple and effective. Brian Tracy has assembled a solid package of materials that can help any of us achieve real improvement.
As he begins, Tracy suggests four reasons to take better control of your time. He claims that practicing his system will help you: (a) gain two extra hours each day; (b) improve your productivity and performance; (c) increase your sense of control, and; (d) have more time for your family. It’s a stretch to say applying the book will deliver on all four, but a sincere effort on the suggested practices will certainly help you better manage your time.
One way to look at the material is to examine an internal summary. At one point, the author suggests a series of steps:
-¢ Changing the way you think - make a deliberate decision to manage your time better and keep a mental picture of how you would look at work if you were efficient, effective and fully productive.
-¢ Setting clear goals and objectives - select what is important with purpose and clarity based on your personal values and aspirations.
-¢ Plan out your work in detail - develop an explicit sequence of the tasks required to achieve your objectives and outline how you will attack each.
-¢ Setting clear priorities on your tasks - separate the urgent tasks from the important and spend the bulk of your time on the important.
-¢ Working all the time you are at work - engage in a single-minded effort to improve your work habits each day.
-¢ Managing multitask jobs - plan large or complex jobs by thinking on paper and organizing every detail before beginning.
Tracy’s work does not contain a lot of new information, but he assembles it in a readable manner. There is some pop psychology in the book, and it uses the numbered list technique a lot, e.g., the “five-best-ways” to do this or that. But once past those limitations, it provides many helpful tools.
Distilling the best advice in the book, I take away the following items:
-¢ Use some sort of planner, electronic or paper, but keep one and keep it current. The discipline of using it will help you keep focused and build good habits.
-¢ Take charge by developing lists of what needs to be done - daily, weekly, monthly, and longer time frames. Always prioritize the lists clearly, and always work from the list.
To some people time management efforts seem a waste. But using good planning tools and developing sound work habits will pay off by avoiding false starts and wasted effort on lesser value tasks. In this book Brian Tracy provides both encouragement and tools to help build successful time-management skills.
Bob Clark is the president of RWC Consulting LLC and has more than 30 years’ experience in labor-management relations. He provides consulting help in labor relations and is an adjunct professor at Concordia University in Ann Arbor.
With advances in technology have come many complex legal issues that could have an adverse impact on your business. Business owners, executives and managers should be aware that preserving digital evidence early is critical in reducing the liability, and potential penalties, that a business will face in court.
Digital evidence collection completed by a qualified forensic IT team can help businesses effectively locate key information or evidence when potential legal issues arise. These individuals have the expertise to preserve information integrity, something that an IT professional untrained in forensic matters usually cannot handle effectively. In addition to data integrity, these trained professionals can help maintain data reliability and admissibility in court proceedings.
Forensic IT professionals can also help businesses save money. The biggest costs related to litigation for clients used to be depositions, but during the last decade that has changed, and the biggest cost is now e-discovery techniques. It is a commonly-held rule of thumb in the legal industry that it will take a law firm approximately 200 hours to review just 1 gigabyte of data. Voluminous amounts of data can be largely eliminated by a forensic IT professional using such strategies as keyword searches and data de-duplication.
Hiring forensic IT professionals when appropriate is only half the solution. In the eyes of judges, the issue of timing is a crucial in any case where IT data is at issue. That’s because any delay in data preservation, or the ongoing use of a computer prior to forensic analysis, may overwrite data. This often results in the destruction of critical evidence.
Penalties can be extensive if judges feel that companies have not done their best to preserve data appropriately. For example, Phillip Morris paid $2.75 million for digital discovery abuse in 2004 and J.P. Morgan paid a $2.1 million settlement over e-mail destruction in 2005. Five to six-digit penalties to companies of all sizes are not uncommon.
There are steps that every business with IT data should take to help reduce legal risks related to data.
First, all intellectual property that you own should have a specific location. Such information could include sales figures, client lists, formulas and other unique and valuable property. This minimizes the risk of your most important data becoming intermingled with other computer and data traffic.
Second, having a document retention policy that includes IT data is critical. Such a policy should be regularly enforced and communicated, offer written details, and have been in existence well before a legal event arises. If such a policy is proven to have those characteristics, the likelihood of a favorable legal ruling is much greater and the risks of penalties and sanctions are lessened.
Third, recognize that corporate IT data exists in many places. That includes corporate-purchased cellular phones, PDAs, voice mails, fax machines and even on employees’ home computers if the business allows work from home. A policy should be in place to gather and preserve data from all of these potential locations.
Fourth, you should know that e-mailing a document, particularly a Microsoft Word or Excel document, can reveal to the recipient prior changes to the document, dates involved, previous edited versions, employee names and other information that the sender would not knowingly want to reveal. When in doubt, send a PDF version, which protects the sender from revealing some of this information.
Finally, don’t overwrite or recycle your backup tapes without a plan in place to ensure your data is preserved. It will be much less expensive to purchase additional tapes than it would be to pay heavy fines because information sought during a court battle has been erased. In such cases, judges can impose an adverse inference, one of the worst penalties to a legal suit, which assumes that all e-mails or digital data that are missing would be harmful to your case.
When a computer is suspected of containing critical information, the longer that time passes the more difficult it is for forensics experts to find such data. The more the computer is used, the more frequently every byte and megabyte is transformed. Data is then more difficult to locate. So remember to act promptly.
The lowest cost, best investment is to preserve this evidence as soon as possible. Computers suspected of hosting critical data should be shut down immediately and taken out of active circulation until a forensic preservation has been obtained. A company’s internal IT staff, though skilled in many aspects, is likely not properly trained or educated in the legal aspects applicable to the recovery of such data. Their actions might even make the situation worse.
Preserving digital data early is something that companies of all sizes should be aware of. In the courtroom, companies that have proven to do their best to preserve their data, and not hide anything are likely to be looked upon more favorably by courts.
Mark St. Peter is president of Computing Source in Southfield, a provider of digital evidence consulting and services for law firms, corporate counsels and other clients. He can be contacted at [email protected].
Ten years ago Zingerman’s Deli in Ann Arbor was featured in Corp! It was also just beginning a vision for 2009. Their sales in 1998 were around $10.5 million, spread amongst the Deli itself, a new Bakehouse, a catering business and a mail-order operation. Today, as they are visioning for 2020 (pun intended), sales top $38 million, more than 600 full-time employees are continually learning about food, customers and commerce at ZingTrain, and nine businesses are part of the Zingerman’s Community of Business (ZCoB).
The 2020 Vision calls for more businesses being added, even more emphasis on local, sustainable food sources, and more people on board to help share in the American dream by being able to “buy houses, raise families and send their children to college.” Along the way, Zingerman’s intends to help customers and community alike.
“Zingerman’s,” says Paul Saginaw, “is driven to add benefits, not take them away.” But these are just the basics that Paul Saginaw reported on.
A Vision for Lansing
He would like to extend the visioning idea to Michigan’s government in Lansing. “A vision for the State would be active, not reactive. We’d love to see a large gathering of stakeholders in the state get together and say ‘Okay, here we are now, but let’s look out 10 or 20 years from now and say what would be a great future for us.’ Rather than identifying current problems and trying to come up with short-term solutions for them (which is depressing), the antidote to that is to envision a preferred future and talk about how do we get there,” Saginaw continues.
“In the discussion of how do we get there, all of your current problems come up out of the closet. But, rather than finger-pointing and blaming each other about why we’re in the condition we’re in, it’s so much more energizing to talk about what things are in place preventing us from getting where we want to be, and what things are in place to help us get there. We’d be glad to convene that group,” Saginaw explains. “We’re big believers in our state and we’ve been in this for 27 years - using our actions to improve things. Why not improve the state?” he wonders.
Think Local, Act Local
One of the actions Zingerman’s uses to improve things is buying locally. “Remember the Richard Scarry books for children?” Saginaw asks. “One showed what people do all day. The Baker bakes the bread. The Farmer gets a haircut and the Barber gets the money to buy the bread and then the Baker has the money to pay the Farmer. That’s really what we’re talking about. We buy from many local farmers. We’re very strong believers in the idea that if you want to have a strong, vibrant community you have to have a strong, vibrant local economy. That means looking closely at sourcing your food locally, your energy locally, your clothing locally, your housing locally.”
Saginaw extends the idea of sourcing locally to the financial community. “We don’t have a local stock market, but we do have local sources of money - local banks and credit unions where they either know you or know someone who knows you. They know what size risk they’re taking to loan money to you to start or grow a business or buy a home. It’s place-based lending. People put their money in the local bank and it’s then community dollars at work in the local community.”
He continues: “Our goal from the day we started was to create an extraordinary organization and be the best at what we are doing. Not necessarily the most profitable. What you get when you do that is long-term success. You’re not the most profitable or the biggest, but you build a good reputation or brand. You take significant action in your community to enhance the social, cultural and educational vitality of the community that we extract our profits from and then it works. People support us, and we support the community.” It sounds so simple when Saginaw says it.
Planning Ahead
Planning is not just a word at Zingerman’s, it’s a mantra. “We plan the upcoming year in great detail, with a lot of narrative about where revenues are coming from,” Saginaw continues. “We also look out at years two and three with ‘pretty close’ numbers. So, when 2006 came along we realized that we were coming to the end of our 2009 Vision and we needed to come up with a new Vision with all of our partners. 2020 sounded good and we liked the pun. We took a year to roll it out to the organization and adopt it. Basically, it’s reaffirming everything we set out to do in our first 15 years - grow by providing opportunity for ownership within the organization for the people who work here. In the new Vision we talk much more about buying locally and about sustainability and what we want to do at the end of the day is have our community be better off because we existed,” Saginaw explains.
Greening and Growing
“We want to have contributed in a positive way. So we talk much more about greening the organization. We want to be beyond compliance. We want to stretch ourselves out there. We want to improve our food, our service and our finances. We want to be sustainable as a business for the long haul. We have a lot of people who depend on us and we want to make sure we’re here for everybody,” Saginaw says as he continues to talk about the Zingerman’s vision for the future. A future which may very soon include a larger commitment to agriculture.
“We hoping to close on a 120-acre farm,” says Saginaw. “Right now we’re raising heirloom tomatoes, peppers, squash, herbs and potatoes on about four acres that belong to the managing partner of the Zingerman’s Roadhouse. What we’re planning on doing is setting up the new farm complete with a farm kitchen and go back to traditional methods of harvesting and preserving food. We’ll be using the results in our own venues and selling it on our retail shelves. We’re setting it up as a mini-entrepreneurial venture with Zingerman’s Roadhouse and hope to spin it out as a separate business in the future.”
Sustainability also plays into the vision for this venture. “We have enough waste oil from our fryers that we think we’ll be able to run the farm on bio-diesel. We’re getting a converter so that we can do that,” explains Saginaw. “We’re doing this because it’s the right thing to do. We want to be a model for how you can run a business this way and be successful. We’re not looking at unbridled growth, we’re looking at product development.”
Spreading the Knowledge
ZingTrain, the instructional arm of the Zingerman’s Community of Businesses, provides internal training as well as training to business people and entrepreneurs from across the country. Saginaw talks about a new course offering. “It’s called ‘Greens to Evergreens.’ We measure ourselves within the organization by what we call Code Greens and Code Reds. Code Reds are a complaint or something that should be done differently, a product that we should carry or a guest that has had a bad experience. Greens are compliments. So, turning Greens into Evergreens means taking the things you are doing well and doing them a lot better. You’re changing a transaction with a customer and transforming it into a meaningful interaction,” he says.
ZingTrain is the instructional arm of the Zingerman’s Community of Businesses.
Transformation and adapting to change is something the Michigan economy could use in large doses. “We have another new class at ZingTrain called ‘Bottom Line Change,'” Saginaw continues. “It’s a systematic process for introducing change into an organization by inducing very early buy-in for that change. You spend a lot of time up front, rolling out your vision, explaining the compelling reasons why you want to make the change, figuring out who needs to know and how the change affects everybody by getting their input. We spend a lot of upfront time but the execution goes very quickly and you have much greater expectations for success.”
Saginaw on Community Responsibility
Zingerman’s belief in making a positive contribution goes well beyond its corporate doors. “We believe a business has to earn its right to do business in a community by being a good corporate citizen and neighbor. Conducting a business just for a higher profit is not necessarily the best thing for a community if it means cutting jobs or whatever just to maintain that profit,” Saginaw suggests. “So part of what we do is take action in the public sector, contributing to the health and vibrancy of our community - and that’s consistent with our basic vision: to share the Zingerman’s experience with as many people as we can, and that includes people who can’t afford to shop with us.”
Food Gatherers needed a new gathering truck. At a recent volunteer appreciation party Paul Saginaw was honored for his service to the organization as founder and chief supporter and in recognition for his efforts the new truck was named the “Paulie Truck”. It’s in service now, gathering in the Kerrytown district of Ann Arbor which includes Zingerman’s Deli.
How does it share that experience? “Years ago we started a hunger relief program called Food Gatherers, collecting food that might otherwise be given away or thrown out and redistributing it to agencies that are designated for feeding the hungry. It started out small but now distributes an average of six tons per day - recovering and distributing a pound of food for less than the price of a postage stamp. It’s also a part of the national Second Harvest program, so it coordinates with national food suppliers.”
Saginaw then talks about additional ways that Zingerman’s gives back to its greater community. “We give 10 percent of our profit each year back into the community, but that’s just money. Over the years we’ve become good at strategic planning, running meetings and events and providing leadership, so it’s not just money but social and intellectual capital that we can leverage to help the community. All businesses can do that, all people can do that,” he continues. “We all have resources of one sort or other and there are people and community organizations that have a dearth of those resources. We try and get out there in the community and help every way we can. It’s an honor to be able to do that,” Saginaw concludes.
And one might say that Michigan should be honored to have the likes of Paul Saginaw and Zingerman’s as part of its community.
“Innovation is . . . the act that endows resources with a new capacity to create wealth” - Peter F. Drucker
The business results of new product innovation are uncertain, at best. Linton, Matysiak & Wilkes’ landmark 1996 study placed the failure rate of new grocery products above 70 percent and estimated that almost half of the resources firms spend on the conception, development and launch of new products are invested in ideas that either fail in the marketplace or never make it to market. Several more recent sources reinforce the validity of that earlier study - indicating new product failure rates of more than 80 percent and perhaps as high as 95 percent. So it’s no that wonder that entrepreneurs, executives and managers are leery of investing in innovation, even though it is one of the only two business activities that create new customers (the other is marketing - again, according to Peter Drucker).
While the odds are low, overall, for the marketplace success of new product innovations, the odds improve dramatically for those companies that follow proven successful processes for evaluating and developing their new products. The same LM&W study that noted 70 percent plus failure rates for new grocery products, placed new product success at closer to 90 percent for innovations from large, established companies. A good portion of this success, of course, can be attributed to the resource advantages of larger companies. But the fact is that these companies, by virtue of their size and structure, follow a regimen for evaluating the marketplace potential of new products ideas that entrepreneurs and managers of smaller companies can readily adapt to improve their own odds of success in launching new product innovations.
In any good program of innovation evaluation, there are five broad criteria every business should include: Consumer, Brand, Market, Product, and Internal. Of course, every industry and every company will need to customize these proven processes to their own unique circumstances, but the following thoughts on evaluating new product innovations may help guide aspiring innovators on the road toward new product success. They are structured as a series of questions the manager or entrepreneur should ask him/herself about their own new product innovations.
Consumer Criteria
In evaluating new product innovations, everything begins with the consumer. You may create a better mousetrap, but if your customers are all cat-breeders, you’ll have a hard time getting an order.
The kinds of consumer questions you should be asking yourself about your new product innovation include:
– Is it consistent with your current consumer base? It’s always easier to sell something new to people who already know you/your company/your brand, so it’s important to understand whether your innovation is intended for the same core consumers you currently serve.
– What is its potential for expanding your consumer target? Expanding your consumer base by offering a new product innovation may also open new sales opportunities for your existing products and services. Many are the computer users who depend on Best Buy’s “Geek Squad” (a service innovation) for regular repairs and updates and leave the store with a DVD, consol game, or USB cord that caught their eye when they came to have memory added to their laptop.
– Is it ahead-of, on, or behind consumer trends? Just a couple of years ago, “low-carb” claims could turn almost any new food product into a massive hit, but much of that magnetism is gone today. But it’s not always best to be ahead of consumers’ curve-of-acceptance. The greatest numbers of consumers are almost always the Mainstream and almost never the Innovators and Early-Adopters.
– Does it require consumers to change their behavior? Ingrained consumer behaviors can be extraordinarily difficult (in other words – expensive) to alter. How long did it take you to shift from a paper to electronic calendar? Do you still print and file computer documents and emails?
It may help you to graphically organize your evaluation in a grid (see example shown below). You may also find it valuable to assign a ‘score’ (a rating of 1 to 5 works well) for each of your evaluation dimensions and you may wish to weight each dimension, based on your understanding of a dimension’s relative importance.
Category Screen
Consumer
Criteria
Target Consumer Consistency
Dimension
Consistency of innovation concept to current consumer profile
Definition
The extent to which this innovation will focus on the business’/brand’s identical core target consumer
Score = 1
The target consumer for this innovation is totally different than the current business’/brand’s target consumer
Score = 2
The target consumer for this innovation is more different than similar than the current business’/brand’s target consumer
Score = 3
The target consumer for this innovation is similar to the current business’/brand’s target consumer
Score = 4
The target consumer for this innovation is Very Close to the current business’/brand’s target consumer
Score = 5
The target consumer for this innovation is a Dead-On Match to the current business’/brand’s target consumer
Weighting for this dimension
1 = Average
.5 = Below average
1.5 = Above Average
1
Actual Score
Weighted Score
Each score will be based on the very best insight and intelligence you can gather. The more accurate your inputs, the better your evaluation of the potential marketplace success for your new product innovations.
Brand Criteria (such as, brand elasticity; brand credibility; brand build/borrow), Market Criteria (such as, number and strength of competitors; market growth), Product Criteria (such as, uniqueness; brand fit; available niche; defensibility; sales potential; marketing costs), and Internal Criteria (such as, can you make it?; margin; R&D required; capital requirements), can each be evaluated in a similar fashion.
Douglas Stone is president of Stone & Simons Advertising, Inc. in Southfield. He can be contacted at [email protected].
While the local political landscape seems to undergo continual change, one longstanding fixture is Oakland County Executive L. Brooks Patterson, who was first elected to the post in 1992. As the CEO of one of the nation’s wealthiest and most successful counties, Patterson oversees a workforce of 4,400 employees and controls an annual budget of more than a half billion dollars.
L. Brooks Petterson (center, with scissors), Congressman Joe Knollenberg (on his left) and other notables cut the ribbon opening another building at Oakland County International Airport.
Corp!: With everyone “reaching across the aisle” these days, how is inter-governmental cooperation doing in the Metro area? Patterson: It’s alive and well in the county. Municipalities such as Bloomfield Township and Birmingham, Farmington and Farmington Hills, Orion and Clarkston are all talking together about ways in which they can be more efficient by sharing common services. The county is able to fund the feasibility studies for these projects from the interest on an account we set up a few years ago. We help them find outside experts who prepare an exhaustive report that gives them the upsides and the downsides and they decide what will work best for them and their citizens.
The concept is working well throughout the area as now all of the counties and the city of Detroit are talking about common interests such as transportation, even Cobo Hall. We’re hoping that will be able to be settled maybe as early as next year, particularly now that Mike Ilitch is involved.
Corp!: You had some pretty frank comments on the economy recently. Is there anything that might happen that would change your mind - or at least your projected timetable of a return to growth? Patterson: We prepare a rolling two-year budget at the county, so we’re okay for fiscal 2009 and 2010. But if real estate values continue to plummet, those projections could be affected negatively. When more than 60 percent of your budget comes from property taxes based on property value, you could wreak havoc on the ranks of the Department of Management and Budget.
On the bright side, we are constantly adding new companies, and with those new companies come new employees who look for housing in Oakland County. One program, the Emerging Sectors program, has added 13,000 jobs in four years.
We also solicit foreign firms to locate in Oakland County, and more than 740 have located here over the years. It operates like sort of a “hedge fund” because when our domestic economy slows down, there’s a good chance that the economy of these foreign companies will help pick up the slack as they continue to grow and invest here.
Corp!: You created Automation Alley and a mindset that Oakland County in particular and perhaps the entire area, was capable of making the transition from heavy manufacturing to heavy thinking. Are we really becoming a knowledge-based economy? Patterson: We certainly are. We now have more than 940 companies in an eight county area participating in the Alley. It has grown into one of the largest, most active technology clusters in the United States, contributing to our claim of developing a knowledge-based economy. While the state boasts 27 percent of its residents have a four-year college degree, Oakland County has 43 percent of its residents with a college degree or better. With an educated workforce like that, we have every reason to expect we can attract high-tech jobs within a knowledge-based economy.
Corp!: What’s on your must-read list? Patterson: Sitting on my bed stand table is “Freakonomics.” It has been recommended to me by several really smart people. I’m looking forward to reading it soon.
I also like to read mysteries because it takes me back to the days when I was a prosecutor; a period in my life that I thoroughly enjoyed as the chief law enforcement officer of Oakland County.
Inforum panel included Richard DeKaser, Chief Economist, National City; Richard Dugas, CEO, Pulte Homes, Inc.; Carla Walker-Miller, President & CEO, Walker-Miller Energy Services
Richard Dugas Jr. of Pulte Homes
More than 400 business leaders and executives gathered on Thursday, November 13, to hear a distinguished panel of experts discuss their perspectives on the economy at the Economic Outlook for 2009 luncheon held by Inforum, Michigan’s largest business organization for women. The luncheon was held at The Townsend Hotel in Birmingham.
A distinguished three member panel presented their opinions on how to turn the economy around. The speakers included nationally known Chief Economist Richard DeKaser from National City Corporation; Pulte Homes, Inc. President Richard Dugas, Jr.; and Walker-Miller Energy Services, LLC. President and CEO Carla Walker-Miller. The event was moderated by Detroit Free Press Business Columnist Tom Walsh.
According to DeKaser, the economy’s woes are a direct result of “three principle problems.” These included the spike in commodity prices, the contraction in the housing market and, most importantly, the ongoing credit crunch. While he forecasted that home prices will continue to decline with the rise of unemployment, DeKaser predicted that the United States will experience positive gross domestic product growth by the second quarter of 2009.
Chief Economist Richard DeKaser from National City Corporation at the podium.
While Dugas agreed that the housing market has not bottomed out yet, and a recovery may arrive in mid 2009, he disagreed on its main cause.
“When people feel their largest single asset is at risk, they don’t feel like buying a car or going on vacation,” he explained.
To aid the economy, Dugas proposed a new stimulus plan similar to one enacted in 1975 by the Ford administration. He suggested that the government give homebuyers a onetime tax credit of up to $20,000 to move unsold homes along with a 30-year mortgage at 4% interest to stimulate sales. While a similar unsuccessful plan was enacted this summer, Dugas explained that it was unsuccessful because it was too small and had to be repaid.
Alternately, Walker-Miller said that the “predictor of growth is the price of gas.” She explained that while the credit market is the current buzz, oil will determine everything.
From left, Pulte Homes, Inc. President Richard Dugas, Jr.; Walker-Miller Energy Services, LLC. President and CEO Carla Walker-Miller; and Richard DeKaser from National City Corporation.
Walker-Miller cautioned that investment in alternative energy has dwindled as consumers celebrate the current lower prices in retail gas, following a record high of $4 per gallon this past summer. “We were fixing our bikes, riding motorcycles to work.” Now, she said,” Hummer sales are probably back up. We have short attention spans, don’t we?”
And that was the cautionary decree that all experts agreed upon – that while living in this “unprecedented” time, we should plan better for our future.
The Economic Outlook for 2009 was presented by Inforum. With nearly 2,000 members, Inforum is one of the largest and most prestigious business forums for women in the nation. Founded as the Women’s Economic club in 1962 in Detroit, Inforum now has affiliates in Grand Rapids and Lansing, Mich. For more information, visit www.inforummichigan.org or call 877.633.3500.
Douglas Small, newly-named president of the Grand Rapids/Kent County Convention and Visitors Bureau, was most recently senior vice president of the Greater Denver Convention and Visitors Bureau.
Corp!: What does the head of a convention and visitors bureau do? Small: Simply put, we put heads in beds. We’re the marketing arm for Grand Rapids and Kent County. At the same time we also market what we call the West Coast as a part of our overall destination package. People can go to the beach or whatever in half an hour, spend a few hours and then come back here for a great dinner at one of our more than 60 restaurants within walking distance of the convention center and spend the night in one of our major hotels - including the only J.W. Marriot (their top brand) in the Midwest, one of only 38 in the world.
Corp!: Even though you’ve only been on the job a short time, can you tell us what makes the Grand Rapids area special - and hopefully makes your job easier than that of a counterpart on the other side of the state?
Small: There are some really wonderful aspects about Detroit. But this economy is hurting everybody. No city can stick out its chest and say “We’re doing awfully good.” The great thing about Grand Rapids is that it’s a diversified economy. When things happen like what’s happening right now, we’re not sitting pretty either. But, at the same time, having a diversified economy is certainly working in our favor.
Grand Rapids has a spirit of public/private partnerships. The leadership envisions a great community and then goes out and funds it.
The convention center, the arena, the great hotels in between, all of the cultural activities - the Gerald Ford Library and Museum, the symphony, Meijer Gardens, the only professional ballet company in the entire state - they’re all the result of that partnership. And you don’t find this in cities twice our size. My job is to go out around the country and say “Folks, take one look at what we have to offer.” I want everyone - not just in the hotels, but the cab driver, the restaurant server, everyone - to promote the brand promise of Grand Rapids.
Corp!: What’s your largest market? Small: Actually, one of them is religious conferences. In January we’re going to host the Religious Conference and Meetings Association, more than 2.000 folks whose job it is to hold meetings and conferences for their membership. They plan meetings from up to 30,000 people down to dozens. We’ve targeted the ones whose meetings best fit us in terms of size and, based on experience, most of them will bring their meetings here over the next few years. And, with our growing health sciences sector, with thousands of scientists working here publishing research papers read throughout the world, that’s certainly a growing market for us.
Corp!: What do you do when you’re not working? Small: I spend time with my family. Twenty-five years of marriage, an 8-year-old daughter. And what do I do when I spend time with them? I cook. I’m a frustrated chef. A self-appointed food snob. My perfect weekend is spent in the kitchen, with a nice bottle of wine, preparing whatever I feel like preparing. Or, we could be playing golf. And when I’m not doing that, I’m a fan of college football - but cooking’s my passion, it’s truly my passion.
Corp!: If you weren’t doing what you’re doing, what would you do? Why? Small: I think you know where I’m going with that - if I had any guts I’d be a chef, owning a restaurant. I’d name it after my daughter. I’d look for a nice brick building down an alley and call it Alley’s in the Alley - food with an attitude, because she certainly has it.
Corp!: Where do you take clients for lunch? Dinner? Small: I’m like Switzerland, I’m neutral at all times. I’m what you might call Italian by diet, so if given a choice I’d look for one of our finer Italian spots. Mainly, anywhere where the chef is truly involved in the operation, with an eclectic menu with a lot of flavor.
Corp!: What are you reading these days? Small: Rich DeVos has just published a book called Ten Phrases for Positive People and I heard him speak about it a few days earlier so I decided to read more about it. Other than that? Food magazines. But, you know what? Even with my love of good food, if I were to choose what would be a last meal, it would be a greasy cheeseburger.
Corp! was invited to attend a multi-city live broadcast Nov. 13, 2008 of a panel of Congressional experts gathered together by the law firm of Dickinson Wright. Panelists included Thomas McCool, director for the Center of Economics of the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO); Jim Clinger, Chief Minority Counsel to the House Financial Services Committee; Ellen McCarthy, Minority Tax Counsel to the Senate Finance Committee; Daniel Flores, Chief Minority Counsel to the Subcommittee on Administrative and Commercial Law of the House Judiciary Committee; and Cynthia Martin, Chief of Staff for Michigan Congressman John Conyers.
The idea behind the program, which included participants in both Troy and Grand Rapids, was to provide DW attorneys and clients with some insight into where the economic crisis was headed and how it might further impact Michigan business.
Nothing exemplified the fluidity of the situation more than the events of the previous day when U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson,Jr. “called an audible” and changed the emphasis of the distribution of funds from the purchase of “toxic” securities by the Troubled Asset Relief Program to the acquisition of preferred stock in troubled banks. According to Jim Clinger, this would provide a more direct infusion of cash into the marketplace and increase liquidity in the credit system. However, cautioned Tom McCool of the GAO, it would be very hard to audit the infused funds and track them once they became a part of the banks’ capital assets. “Would it be possible?” he was asked, “Yes, but with a staff of only 20 to oversight all of the eligible banks, it will be a challenge.”
The result of Secretary Paulson’s efforts so far has been difficult to measure as the eight banks that have been beneficiaries of the stock acquisition have so far seemed to be reluctant to make any significant loans.
Daniel Flores suggested that the Congress may suffer from “buyers’ remorse” as the Administration keeps changing what they’ve “bought.” “It’s a squishy concept,” says Flores. It will all be subject to some sort of judicial review, he pointed out.
Ellen McCarthy felt that there would be strings attached to any further expenditures of TARP funds, particularly in the area of executive compensation. There should certainly be some sort of cap, perhaps $1 million. After all, she pointed out, all that is our money and we want it used to solve problems in the economy and not go to salaries and bonuses. She also pointed out that Congressman Barney Frank was questioning whether the Treasury Department was exceeding its authority by deviating from the original intent of the TARP legislation.
That’s how confused and liquid the situation is.
Some bright spots were pointed out, however. John Lawrence, an international banking expert with DW, reminded the audience that the preferred stock would be paying dividends of 5 percent back to the Treasury and that the first payments were due in the next month or two.
That brought up a little-noticed aspect of the TARP legislation itself. Approximately two-thirds of the language in the authorization bill deals with tax matters - ranging from a $20/month tax credit for employees who ride a bicycle to work, to a reinstitution of the tax credits for renewable energy development and usage, to limited but significant credits up to $15,000 per vehicle if a commercial truck met certain energy efficiency standards.
Additionally, leasehold improvements - the kind of thing that happens when a restaurant, for instance, moves into an empty shell of a building and turns it into an intimate bistro - can be accelerated. This provision, however, expires at the end of January 2010.
There was considerable concern on the part of the audience in both Grand Rapids and Troy that the automotive sector was going to be left out to dry until the next Administration and Congress addressed it in January. Cynthia Martin anticipated that the lame duck Congress would take up some sort of loan guarantee program, particularly for General Motors, during its session the week of November 24, but according to published reports there may not be enough votes in the current makeup of the Senate to pass that kind of legislation and without senatorial support Speaker Nancy Pelosi might not even bother calling the House into session.
With media reports saying that General Motors’ cash position by the end of December would be below its ability to continue operations, and some Wall Street analysts no longer issuing buy/sell/hold advice to clients on GM stock, and the market on Nov. 13 closing up more than 500 points, the meeting with the expert Congressional staff served to reinforce the need for business people to have expert counsel on their speed dials because ‘fluid’ doesn’t begin to describe the nation’s - and the world’s - economic situation.
Read some expert predictions for Michigan’s economy for 2009 - then let us know in the “Comments” section below what you’re doing to improve your own piece of Michigan’s economy. If you have ideas for the whole state, pass them along too. We’ll publish the best ideas in the December 4th on-line issue of Corp!
As this is being written, the Dow Jones Average has dipped below 9,800 for the first time in years, European and Asian markets are declining at an alarming rate and banks worldwide are being bailed out by a variety of governmental institutions.
Not a comfortable environment in which to ask some very smart people to think about Michigan and the world tomorrow, much less for them to think about Michigan in the next year.
But the answers we’ve received are surprisingly positive, albeit not unanimously.
Dr. Paul Isely of the Seidman College of Business at Grand Valley State University
Economists like to keep track of leading economic indicators and in Michigan’s case, we are one. According to Dr. Paul Isely, assistant professor of economics at the Seidman College of Business at Grand Valley State University, we actually never even got out of the last recession, much less recovered from it. So the fact that we’ve had a great deal of experience in being near the bottom of most economic indices makes it all the more promising that we’ve managed to climb to the third or even the second quartile in some areas.
Take this August, for example. “The Grand Rapids area lost only 900 jobs,” says Isely. “That’s .2 percent, exactly, on par with the rest of the United States. Southeastern Michigan, on the other hand, is still transitioning and their job loss was 4.3 percent below the national average. That’s largely because we’re more diversified on this side of the state. We actually lost 2,200 manufacturing jobs, but gained 1,900 jobs in health care and education.”
Translation: When the rest of the state is able to catch up with the western side in diversification, there’s room for hope.
Beth DeWilde of Paragon Recruiting
Beth DeWilde, principal and chief recruiting officer of Paragon Recruiting in Holland, agrees that diversification has made a difference. “We have so many successful smaller firms that are under most people’s radar. They’re the ones who are hiring - but because they’re only hiring one or two or a few people, instead of hundreds, they don’t make the news-¦but they do keep me busy.”
David Sowerby, portfolio manager for Loomis, Sayles and Company in Bloomfield Hills, agrees strongly about the smaller companies. “They’ll grow up, get bigger, maybe go public and the more we can do to promote them, the better off we’ll be as a state - and I’d like to see you write more about that in Corp!”
Twenty years ago Sowerby established his Michigan Stock Index, which is based on the publicly-traded stocks of 100 companies headquartered in Michigan. Initially there were more than 140 companies from which to choose.
David Sowerby of Loomis, Saylesa and Company
“Today there are fewer than 90 companies with their headquarters here in the state,” adds Sowerby. “This has been going on for more than 10 years so it’s not something that is new, or attributable to anyone’s term in Lansing. Through natural market forces we’ve seen these companies go away - in retail or banking, or big companies like Gerber, Upjohn and Unisys - they’ve closed or merged or moved out of state and not enough have come in through the front door. We need to reverse that. We need the big headquarters of companies, the ones with the high-paying jobs at many levels, the ones who can, and do, hire 40 college graduates at a time,” he continues.
“Any initiatives that can foster a more competitive tax environment, or things like the Invest Michigan! program, anything that can foster more business start-ups gives us a greater chance to succeed long term,” Sowerby adds.
The Invest Michigan! initiative, proposed by Governor Jennifer Granholm in her 2008 State of the State address, became a reality on July 31. Designed to grow the state’s pension fund by investing in Michigan-based companies, Invest Michigan! is intended to help diversify Michigan’s economy by retaining, attracting and building successful small and medium-sized businesses, with the expected outcome of creating jobs in the state.
While this program gives some local economic relief, some wonder whether Michigan will benefit from the Emergency Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, recently passed at the federal level. Terry Stanton, public information officer at the Michigan Department of Treasury, thinks so. “It is difficult to gauge at this early stage. Certainly, the credit crisis has put Main Street Michigan families and businesses at risk,” says Stanton. “Congress’ action in late September was a step in the right direction to help Michigan families and businesses that may be struggling in this downturn.”
Not all agree, however. David Littmann, senior economist at the Mackinac Center for Public Policy, a free-market think tank in Midland, says the bailout “means nothing but delay in removing the causes of the crisis.” Indeed, Littmann foresees Michigan’s recession deepening with double-digit unemployment rates and a ninth year with personal income levels below the U.S. average.
Another “bailout” that should have a more direct impact on Michigan’s economy in 2009 and beyond is a $25 billion loan guarantee package for GM, Ford and Chrysler.
Ford spokesman Bill Collins says the loans will give automakers the chance to rebound. “They will allow us access to capital at a lower interest rate than available now, helping us to transform our U.S. manufacturing plants more quickly and bring affordable, fuel-efficient vehicles to millions of customers.”
Seeing the direct loans as a critical piece of Ford’s plan to pursue advanced technologies and deliver leading fuel economy, Collins says they are “an important step . . . at a time when the capital markets are distressed.”
Professor Isely of Grand Valley State concurs, albeit for different reasons. “The automotives have a product mix that looks promising two to three years from now. The key is to make sure that they can maintain business through that timeframe without having to make major readjustments-¦any package that comes out of Congress that makes sure they get that opportunity is something that helps Michigan.”
What role will “new technology” play in Michigan in 2009? David Sowerby sees it this way: “The greater issue is separating the cyclicality of the state from its longer-term secular prospects. I look at Michigan’s IPOs in the last decade as one measure and it’s awfully light in comparison to states like North Carolina and Illinois. We have to develop a competitive advantage to get new companies to move or start up here. We also need a great deal more liquidity in the credit markets. You can lead a horse to water but you can’t make it lend - unless the fear that’s so prevalent in those markets is eased.”
David Littmann agrees, cautiously. “The marketplace demands certainty of a superior business climate. Technology is fungible and globally competitive,” he says, but noted that without a change in Michigan’s policies “non-subsidized firms will not voluntarily move and/or stay here.”
Stanton, from the Treasury Department, who points to the governor’s signing of a comprehensive energy package, says the new law “will create thousands of new jobs in Michigan, diversify our economy by attracting job-creating companies and save customers money on their electric bills by ensuring that the bulk of Michigan’s future energy needs are produced from renewable energy resources and energy efficiency savings.”
DeWilde, the recruiter from Holland, certainly sees growth in the technology sector. “That economy here is still very strong. They’re adding staff - often small to medium-sized businesses just not on the media radar. The growth companies aren’t spoken about, they don’t try to put their name out there. They’re too busy growing their businesses - which often have been started because people were downsized from more traditional businesses.”
Is there a “bottom line” on the economic outlook for Michigan in 2009? That’s more difficult to answer, because too many things that either can’t be quantified or controlled by the state or its leaders. Is there what might be called a positive potential? If we can accept that Michigan has had such enormous experience being in a recession, then the only next step is to slowly get out of it. That may be the best way to look at what appears to be a very rough 12 months ahead for the rest of the country.
If there’s any doubt the health of the commercial real estate market is critical to the American economy, consider the following:
U.S. commercial real estate is worth approximately $5 trillion, including 4 billion square feet of office space; 13 billion square feet of industrial property; almost 9.5 billion square feet of shopping center space; 4.4 million hotel rooms; and 33 million square feet of rental apartment space.
These numbers are from Washington, D.C.-based The Real Estate Roundtable, which counts among its membership leaders of the nation’s top publicly held and privately owned real estate ownership, development, lending and management firms, and national real estate trade associations.
There’s no doubt 2008 was a challenging year in Michigan, according to two experts.
Paul Hatcher says companies are renovating instead of moving locations.
“With automotive sales dropping, industrial construction has slowed to a near standstill,” says Paul Hatcher, president of Novi-based Oliver/Hatcher Construction, which specializes in the planning, design, construction or renovation of retail, office, industrial and medical facilities. “Some warehouse and distribution construction is still taking place, but it’s very limited.” Investing funds into renovating existing structures continues, he adds, due to “decreasing prices of existing buildings as well as people deciding to renovate
in lieu of moving.”
John A. Latessa Jr., managing director of the Detroit office of CB Richard Ellis Group (CBRE), one of the world’s largest
commercial real estate services firms, says the office and industrial vacancy rate are both up in southeastern Michigan. “The third quarter office vacancy rate is just at over 25 percent, with Troy topping 30 percent for the first time,” says Latessa. “Industrial
availability is up very slightly over last year, to 13 percent.”
John A Latessa Jr. says the current real estate market offers opportunities.
Such trends, notes Latessa, offer opportunities. “Given such vacancies and availabilities, new deals, renewals and extensions have all been at attractive rates for tenants in both office and industrial markets.”
There have been some bright spots in 2008, one of them a new mixed-use development located at Telegraph and Square Lake Roads called Bloomfield Park. Oliver/Hatcher Construction is constructing 180,000 square feet of office and retail space for the project.
CBRE is the leasing agent for the office and retail space in the 80-acre development, which will include office buildings, residential property, recreation parks and a hotel. Completion is expected in October 2009.
[Editor’s note: construction on Bloomfield Park has been halted because of the current credit crunch.]
CBRE is also leasing space for Baluster Park in Troy, an eight-building complex with over 1.2 million square feet, and is the leasing agent for the Southfield Town Center, home to CBRE offices. Redevelopment of the Steelcase campus in Grand Rapids, along with several out-of-state projects, were highlights this year for Oliver/Hatcher.
Baluster Park in Troy features 1.2 million square feet of office space.
Other positives for 2008 include only a slight downturn in commercial lease rates in Michigan, says Latessa. “Additionally, nearly 40 life sciences companies have now received loans through various state initiatives to keep employees and talent in the area.”
Both experts agree that 2009 will present its share of challenges. “The credit crunch is causing many projects to be postponed or cancelled,” says Hatcher. Adds Latessa: “Without lenders poised to loan funds, all economic growth, job creation and consumer credit and confidence halts.”
Still, there’s room for optimism. Abundant natural resources, a growing and improving diversity of Michigan companies and products, along with a highly skilled workforce, strong educational institutions and real estate bargains, give both Latessa and Hatcher reasons to be upbeat. “Simply stated, Michigan offers everything a company needs to be successful,” concludes Latessa.